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W. Joseph Campbell

Author's Posts

  • Why Americans Are So Enamored With Election Polls

    Why Americans Are So Enamored With Election Polls0

    The Republican pollster Frank Luntz warned on Twitter and elsewhere the other day that if preelection polls in this year’s presidential race are embarrassingly wrong again, “then the polling industry is done.” It was quite the forecast. While it is possible the polls will misfire, it’s exceedingly unlikely that such failure would cause the opinion

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  • The Exceptional Catalog of American Polling Failures

    The Exceptional Catalog of American Polling Failures0

    The question looms in nearly every U.S. presidential election, even in this year’s race: Could the polls be wrong? If they are, they likely will err in unique fashion. The history of election polling says as much. That history tells of no greater polling surprise than what happened in 1948, when President Harry Truman defied

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